Monthly Archives: January 2015

Alieving Rationality

Almost six years ago, Scott wrote a post on LW about the apparent lack of strong correlation of real-world instrumental success and studying what he calls “x-rationality” – that is, OB/LW-style rationality, of the kind that’s above and beyond the regular skills … Continue reading

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On Arrogance

arrogant adjective having or revealing an exaggerated sense of one’s own importance or abilities. A friend of mine once mentioned on a comment written in response to some post or another in a facebook debate group that he had knowledge … Continue reading

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On Magical Universes

Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic. — Sir Arthur C. Clarke (1917 – 2008) The above quote is quite famous, at least amongst certain types of people. And the core idea is a pretty idealistic and hopeful one: … Continue reading

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Learning Bayes [part 2]

In part 1, I talked about the Bayesian way of dealing with, well, noise, in a certain sense. How do I figure out that I “should not” conditionalise on a person’s astrological sign when predicting the cost of the bridge … Continue reading

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